Exploring the depths of Autocorrelation Function: its departure from normality

 

H. Hassani, M. Royer Carenzi, L.M. Mashad, M. Yarmohammadi and M.R. Yeganegi

Information, 2024, 15, 449, pp. 1-26

 

 

 

 

Supplementary 

 

In the main paper, we study the simulations of

 

-       White Noises of length n=500.

 

-       ARIMA(0,2,2) processes of length n=500. We estimate every simulated series as an ARIMA(0,2,0) process, and compute its residuals.

 

 

In the Supplementary, we consider

 

-       White Noises of length n=100

 

-       Residuals of well-specified models :

 

MA(2) processes of length n=500. We estimate every simulated series as a MA(2) process, and compute its residuals.

 

AR(2) processes of length n=500. We estimate every simulated series as an AR(2) process, and compute its residuals.

 

ARIMA(0,2,2) processes of length n=500. We estimate every simulated series as an ARIMA(0,2,2) process, and compute its residuals.

 

ARIMA(1,1,1) processes of length n=500. We estimate every simulated series as an ARIMA(1,1,1) process, and compute its residuals.

-       Residuals of misspecified models

 

MA(2) processes of length n=500. We estimate every simulated series as a WN process.

 

AR(2) processes of length n=500. We estimate every simulated series as as a WN process.

 

ARIMA(0,2,2) processes of length n=500. We estimate every simulated series as an AR(1) process, and compute its residuals.

 

ARIMA(1,1,1) processes of length n=500. We estimate every simulated series as an ARIMA(2,1,2) process, and compute its residuals.

 

 

 

 

 

R Code associated to previous projects

 

Several functions, aimed to facilitate time series modeling, were developed in previous projects from M. Royer-Carenzi.

You can refer either to an English paper or to a French book, and to their associated web pages for R-codes and explanations :

 

 Identifying trend nature in time series using autocorrelation functions and

stationarity tests

International Journal of Economics and Econometrics, vol. 14, n°1 (2024) pp.1-22

M. Boutahar and M. Royer Carenzi

 

Méthodes en séries temporelles et applications avec R

Ellipses, Références Sciences (2019)

M. Boutahar and M. Royer Carenzi

 

 

R Code associated to the current paper 

 

 

R-functions useful to study the departure of ACF from normality:

 

Plot of the standardized cumulative sum of the ACF (SACF / )

 

Function_ SACF.R

 

Example of SACF use

 

 

Test of the normality of the successive ACF

 

Function_normality.test.succACF.R

 

Example of normality.test.succACF use

 

 

 

Diagnosis for an estimated ARMA(p,q) model

 

Function_ tsdiag.Arma.R

 

Example of tsdiag.Arma use

 

 

 

 

Data and associated scripts:

 

Money Stock in USA

 

MoneyStock.csv

 

Script_MoneyStock.R